ISSN 0798 1015

Vol. 42 (Issue 02) Year 2021. Art. 6

Received: 28/09/2020 • Approved: 28/11/2020 • Published 31/01/2021

Formation of a model for predicting the behavior of an enterprise in an unstable economic environment

Formación de un modelo para predecir el comportamiento de una empresa en un entorno económico inestable

KUZUBOV, Alexey A.1                
MAKSIMENKO, Aleskandr N.2
KHLOPENKO, Oksana V.3          
BEZUGLOVA, Margarita N.4

Abstract 
This article is devoted to the formation of a forecasting model for an enterprise in the context of unstable economic relations. Based on the analysis of literary sources, the concept of enterprise development and its behavior was considered, and three main approaches to the study of indicators of enterprise behavior were identified. The interrelation of the factors of the system of models for predicting the behavior of the enterprise has been formed. A system of analytical functions has been developed that create the structure of a model for predicting the behavior of an enterprise, which will allow analyzing the internal capabilities of an enterprise to changes in the external environment.
Key words: enterprise behavior, modeling, external environment, forecasting

Resumen
Este artículo está dedicado a la formación de un modelo de pronóstico para una empresa en el contexto de relaciones económicas inestables. A partir del análisis de fuentes literarias, se considera el concepto de desarrollo empresarial y su comportamiento, y se identifican tres enfoques principales para el estudio de indicadores de comportamiento empresarial. Se ha formado la interrelación de los factores del sistema de modelos para predecir el comportamiento de la empresa. Se ha desarrollado un sistema de funciones analíticas que crea la estructura de un modelo para predecir el comportamiento de una empresa, lo que permitirá analizar las capacidades internas de una empresa ante cambios en el entorno externo
Palabras clave: comportamiento empresarial, modelado, entorno externo, previsión

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1. Candidate of Economic Sciences, associate Professor of Economics, Don state Technical University, Rostov-on-Don,  E-mail: alexceyk@gmail.com

2. Candidate of Economic Sciences, associate Professor of Economics, Don state Technical University, Rostov-on-Don,  E-mail: MANzel@yandex.ru

3. Candidate of Economic Sciences, associate Professor of Economics, Don state Technical University, Rostov-on-Don,  E-mail: ohlopenko@yandex.ru

4. Candidate of Economic Sciences, associate Professor of Economics, Don state Technical University, Rostov-on-Don,  E-mail: margarita-b-85@mail.ru